ACC Football 2012 Postseason Bowl Projections: Week 12

After a Huge Upset Over Louisville, Syracuse Looks Well Set Up for a Return to the Postseason

Below is a projected list of bowl-eligible ACC teams, and which games they’d hypothetically be headed to. As parity continues its ugly reign across the conference, there’s some legitimate concern the ACC could fall well short of the eight slots it’s guaranteed (insert sadface). But on the bright side: two BCS teams again! Disagree with any of these? Share your own picks below.

ACC Bowl Projections 2012: Week 12

Discover Orange Bowl: Florida State Seminoles (9-1) vs. BCS at-large

Allstate Sugar Bowl: Clemson Tigers (9-1) vs. SEC champion

Chick-fil-a Bowl: Miami Hurricanes (5-5) vs. SEC

Russell Athletics Bowl: NC State Wolfpack (6-4) vs. Big East

Hyundai Sun Bowl: Virginia Tech Hokies (4-6)  vs. Pac-12

Belk Bowl: Duke Blue Devils (6-4) vs. Big East

Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (5-5) vs. SEC

We also see Syracuse (5-5) going to the Pinstripe Bowl as the Big East’s fourth-place representative.

We’ll be updating these each week, so be sure to check back throughout the season.

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6 thoughts on “ACC Football 2012 Postseason Bowl Projections: Week 12

  1. I think your projections are reasonable, and I think this would be good for the conference from a revenue point of view (2nd BCS bid pays really well!). However, from a won-lost perspective, now that we think Alabama will be in the Sugar bowl (which also pushes all other SEC teams down one bowl), that spells bad news for the ACC (which would have to push all teams UP one bowl). I don’t think Clemson beats ‘Bama, I doubt Miami beats S. Carolina, and I’m not feeling good about most of the other bowls, either.

    Here’s an idea – maybe you could also project the opponent in each of the bowls, then go one step further and project the winner? That way, we can see not only who goes where, but who wins, too!

    • My hope was that the projections would create a conversation like this one, so I’m glad to see that’s happened.

      You bring up a great point, and it’s one that worried me as well. Given the matchups Clemson moving up to the Sugar Bowl would create, it’s not going to do the ACC any good — especially in a down year like this one — in terms of winning more postseason games. But, I guess the alternative is higher payouts. The ACC gets two payouts from BCS games now (worth $17M apiece), along with the Chick-fil-a Bowl (3.9675M), Russell Athletics ($2.275M), Sun ($2M), Music City ($1.837M) and Belk ($1.7M). Unfortunately, we miss out on another $2.5M between the Independence and Military Bowls, but I think it’s worth it for another $17M — even with the losses.

  2. I agree with Mark, it won’t help the ACC from a win-loss perspective. But the money will be good, and having two teams in the BCS, even if they both lose, reinforces the image of the ACC as a major player. The conference’s atrocious BCS record is still better than not playing in BCS games at all.
    With the projections you have above, I get Florida State vs. Louisville, Clemson vs. Alabama, Miami vs. South Carolina, NC State vs. Louisville, Virginia Tech vs. Oregon State/Stanford, Duke vs. Cincy, and GT vs. maybe Vandy. I like the chances of Florida State and Georgia Tech and would call NC State and Clemson toss-ups, with the rest being almost certain losses. So if the ACC wins the two games it should and a few breaks go the right way for the Tigers and the Wolfpack, that’s a 4-3 record, which would be welcome after last year’s embarrassment.

    • That’s a rough slate of games, any way you slice it. The issue of whether we’re supposed to be an “elite conference” or not isn’t really helped at all by this potential grouping of games. In fact, I think the 4-3 prediction is aggressive. I don’t see us as any better than 2-5 there. Which is very, very bad.

  3. It’s a real “catch-22″. Better bowls attract tougher competition (usually), which result in fewer wins. I do think in the long run that the ACC needs to get away from matching, say, ACC #5 vs. Big East #2 because that’s a no-win proposition (even if you win, they’ll say it was the Big East!). You’d like a prestigious but overrated Big Ten, but so do all the other conferences!

    • I’d agree with that, which is why the ACC went with the SEC/B1G/Notre Dame arrangement in the Orange Bowl. That said, when it comes to lesser bowls (Belk, etc), I’m not necessarily torn up matching the fifth-best ACC team with an 11-1 Boise State team or 10-2 Cincinnati (likely second-place in Big East). That seems like a win-win, to me. Beat them, and it proves just how much better the ACC is. Lose, and well, it’s a mismatch of a bowl game between a top-15 team and one outside the top 40. But yes, ideally, more games against the B1G (and Pac-12) would benefit the ACC in the short- and long-term.

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