Hypothetical College Football Playoffs 2012: Week 14

Another Oregon/Stanford Classic? Sign Me Up.

Now that the dream of a playoff has turned into a reality (following the 2014 season), this realistic-but-still-hypothetical-for-two-years feature actually has some outside guidelines to follow: four teams, two semifinal spots and then a championship game. We currently have no clue how teams will be determined, how polls will be released, or who will put them together. So with that in mind, we’re going with the BCS rankings (courtesy of BCSGuru for teams outside of top 25), for lack of an on-hand committee to spit out a detailed list. We’ll also fill in the major bowl games also slated to be part of the playoff structure. Additionally, for our own enjoyment, you’ll find a 16-team hypothetical tournament below, too. Just because it’s too much fun not to think about.

If the Four-Team Playoff Started This Year…

Fiesta Bowl (semifinal): #1 Notre Dame vs. #4 Florida

Sugar Bowl (semifinal): #2 Alabama vs. #3 Georgia

National Championship: #2 Alabama over #1 Notre Dame

Orange Bowl: Florida State vs. Texas A&M

Cotton Bowl: Kansas State vs. Oregon

Rose Bowl: Stanford vs. Nebraska

Chick-fil-a Bowl: LSU vs. Kent State

The SEC, as one might expect, grabs a ton of the premier bowl spots, increasing their respective payout far beyond what the other conferences would receive. In this scenario, out of all of the power conferences, the SEC receives five bids, while the only other conference with more than one is the Pac-12 (two).

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Hypothetical College Football Playoffs 2012: Week 12

Oregon May Not Be No. 1 in the BCS Rankings Right Now, But They Come Out On Top In Our Playoff Scenarios

Now that the dream of a playoff has turned into a reality (following the 2014 season), this realistic-but-still-hypothetical-for-two-years feature actually has some outside guidelines to follow: four teams, two semifinal spots and then a championship game. We currently have no clue how teams will be determined, how polls will be released, or who will put them together. So with that in mind, we’re going with the BCS rankings (courtesy of BCSGuru for teams outside of top 25), for lack of an on-hand committee to spit out a detailed list. We’ll also fill in the major bowl games also slated to be part of the playoff structure. Additionally, for our own enjoyment, you’ll find a 16-team hypothetical tournament below, too. Just because it’s too much fun not to think about.

If the Four-Team Playoff Started This Year…

Sugar Bowl (semifinal): #1 Kansas State vs. #4 Alabama

Rose Bowl (semifinal): #2 Oregon vs. #3 Notre Dame

National Championship: #2 Oregon over #4 Alabama

Orange Bowl: Florida State vs. Texas A&M

Cotton Bowl: Georgia vs. Nebraska

Fiesta Bowl: LSU vs. Louisville

Chick-fil-a Bowl: Florida vs. Clemson

While Alabama’s fallen from the top spot, I’m still tempted to believe they’re among the two best teams in the nation, which is how they get to a championship game matchup with Oregon. With a similar attack to that of Texas A&M (who just felled ‘Bama last weekend), I have the Ducks beating the Tide for the title.

In the major bowl games, Georgia, LSU, Texas A&M and Clemson were handed at-large bids (skipping over South Carolina to avoid any SEC vs. SEC games), with Florida State (ACC), Nebraska (B1G) and Louisville (“Group of Five”) receiving automatic bids.

If There Was a 16 Team Playoff…

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Hypothetical College Football Playoffs 2003-2011; And What It All Means for the ACC

The College Football Playoff Format is Beginning to Take Shape; We Take a Look at What it Means for the ACC

The BCS conference commissioners and Presidential Oversight Committee have been hammering out the details of a college football playoff system in Denver today, and additional information has continued to emerge. Here’s what we know so far:

  • Six bowls (Orange, Sugar, Rose already locked in)
    • Orange (ACC vs. SEC/B1G/Notre Dame)
    • Sugar (SEC vs. Big 12)
    • Rose (B1G vs. Pac-12)
  • Top bowls being considered for other three slots include Fiesta, Chick-fil-a and Cotton
  • These games will rotate as the sites for the two semifinal games each year, 12 seasons, starting with the 2014 postseason
  • Top-ranking team from “Group of Five” conferences (Big East, MWC, MAC, C-USA, Sun Belt) granted automatic berth into one of the big-money bowl games
  • Revenue split has been decided though not released, but likely to see Big Five conferences take in around 80 percent of playoff earnings (split equally), versus 20 percent for Group of Five.

While obviously it’s great to see the ACC’s seat at the table assuredly for the foreseeable future, there are some issues that may arise — some of which can be ironed out as negotiations continue. One of particular concern to me, however, is the landing spot for an ACC team when the Orange Bowl is one of the semifinal spots. The conference has only placed one team (Virginia Tech in 2007) in the final four from 2003 through 2012. Given the unavoidable fact that the ACC champion is very often outside of the top eight (likely guaranteed) spots, where does that team go if there’s no Orange Bowl? And, out of the 12 spots, seven have already been decided upon, with the ACC, Pac-12 and Big 12 only possessing one apiece at the moment. It’s likely the additional access bowls will not have rigid guidelines for its invites, but the ACC must ensure it receives at least a loose tie-in in order to stay competitive. With the Fiesta Bowl and Cotton Bowl likely to latch on to either the Big 12, Pac-12 or both, the likely addition is a Chick-fil-a tie-in that may match us up with the Big East champ more often than not. But again, this is not guaranteed — yet is essential for the league to avoid also-ran status among the Big Five. To illustrate further, here’s a look at what the 2003-2011 seasons could have looked like under the playoff format. Bowl rotations were made up here for simplicity’s sake, and do not reflect what we know to this point:

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Hypothetical College Football Playoffs 2012: Week 11

The BCS Computers Are Coming Around On the Ducks, and So is Our Hypothetical Playoff

Now that the dream of a playoff has turned into a reality (following the 2014 season), this realistic-but-still-hypothetical-for-two-years feature actually has some outside guidelines to follow: four teams, two semifinal spots and then a championship game. We currently have no clue how teams will be determined, how polls will be released, or who will put them together. So with that in mind, we’re going with the BCS rankings (courtesy of BCSGuru for teams outside of top 25), for lack of an on-hand committee to spit out a detailed list. Also, for our own enjoyment, you’ll find a 16-team hypothetical tournament below. Just because it’s too much fun not to think about.

If the Four-Team Playoff Started This Year…

Top Eight Seeds (in order): Alabama, Kansas StateOregon, Notre Dame, Georgia, FloridaLSU, South Carolina

Semifinal 1: #1 Alabama vs. #4 Notre Dame

Semifinal 2: #2 Kansas State vs. #3 Oregon

National Championship Game: Alabama over Oregon

Thus far this year, there’s a top four, and then everyone else. That may change, but with the evidence we’ve amassed through nine games, these are your best teams and a playoff would be the perfect way to decide which of them is best. Unfortunately, we’ll have to wait on that in real life, but here, we get to “watch” it play out. I’m more and more convinced each week that Oregon and Alabama would be the most fun you’ll ever have watching a National Championship Game, while ND vs. Alabama could be the most insufferable of all possibilities. Unless LSU creeps back into the top four, it’s hard to visualize another team punching ‘Bama in the mouth quite like the Tigers did last Saturday night.

If There Was a 16 Team Playoff…

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Hypothetical College Football Playoffs 2012: Week 10

Despite Their Continued Drop in the BCS Rankings, it’s Hard to Ignore Oregon

Now that the dream of a playoff has turned into a reality (following the 2014 season), this realistic-but-still-hypothetical-for-two-years feature actually has some outside guidelines to follow: four teams, two semifinal spots and then a championship game. We currently have no clue how teams will be determined, how polls will be released, or who will put them together. So with that in mind, we’re going with the BCS rankings (courtesy of BCSGuru for teams outside of top 25), for lack of an on-hand committee to spit out a detailed list. Also, for our own enjoyment, you’ll find a 16-team hypothetical tournament below. Just because it’s too much fun not to think about.

If the Four-Team Playoff Started This Year…

Top Eight Seeds (in order): Alabama, Kansas StateNotre Dame, Oregon, LSU, Georgia, Florida, South Carolina

Semifinal 1: #1 Alabama vs. #4 Oregon

Semifinal 2: #2 Kansas State vs. #3 Notre Dame

National Championship Game: Alabama over Kansas State

While there was plenty of upheaval in and around the top 10 this weekend, we also saw some separation begin to occur. There’s little doubt that the top four teams listed here are the best in the country. Now the problems concern where they’re supposed to be seeded, and why we can’t just skip the waiting period and have a playoff this year. As SB Nation’s Bill Connelly so accurately pointed out yesterday, “We have a playoff emergency.”

If There Was a 16 Team Playoff…

 

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Hypothetical College Foootball Playoffs 2012: Week Nine

Alabama Continues to Look Invincible, Both on the Field and in Our Projections

Now that the dream of a playoff has turned into a reality (following the 2014 season), this realistic-but-still-hypothetical-for-two-years feature actually has some outside guidelines to follow: four teams, two semifinal spots and then a championship game. We currently have no clue how teams will be determined, how polls will be released, or who will put them together. So with that in mind, we’re going with the BCS rankings (courtesy of BCSGuru for teams outside of top 25), for lack of an on-hand committee to spit out a detailed list. Also, for our own enjoyment, you’ll find a 16-team hypothetical tournament below. Just because it’s too much fun not to think about.

If the Four-Team Playoff Started This Year…

Top Eight Seeds (in order): Alabama, FloridaKansas State, Oregon, Notre Dame, LSU, Oregon State, Oklahoma

Semifinal 1: #1 Alabama vs. #4 Oregon

Semifinal 2: #2 Florida vs. #3 Kansas State

National Championship Game: Alabama over Kansas State

Oregon moved down again this week, however, they still have what may amount to four games against top 25 competition (and three against top-10 foes) left, meaning they could very well vault themselves right back up the line by season’s end. While ‘Bama-K-State may not sound like the most alluring matchup we could come up with, it’s still very much a battle of strengths: Tide defense vs. Wildcats offense.

If There Was a 16 Team Playoff…

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Hypothetical College Foootball Playoffs 2012: Week Eight

Alabama and QB AJ McCarron Are Unstoppable Until Someone Proves Otherwise

Now that the dream of a playoff has turned into a reality (following the 2014 season), this realistic-but-still-hypothetical-for-two-years feature actually has some outside guidelines to follow: four teams, two semifinal spots and then a championship game. We currently have no clue how teams will be determined, how polls will be released, or who will put them together. So with that in mind, we’re going with the BCS rankings (courtesy of BCSGuru for teams outside of top 25), for lack of an on-hand committee to spit out a detailed list. Also, for our own enjoyment, you’ll find a 16-team hypothetical tournament below. Just because it’s too much fun not to think about.

If the Four-Team Playoff Started This Year…

Top Eight Seeds (in order): Alabama, Florida, Oregon, Kansas State, Notre Dame, LSU, South Carolina, Oregon State

Semifinal 1: #1 Alabama vs. #4 Kansas State

Semifinal 2: #2 Florida vs. #3 Oregon

National Championship Game: Alabama over Oregon

Many folks — Oregon coach Chip Kelly included — are a bit perturbed to see the Ducks placed third in the initial rankings, and we sort of agree. That said, since Alabama and Florida may have to face off in the SEC Championship Game (or lose trying to get there), it’s also likely the Ducks can move up rather easily.

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