BCS Rankings: A Closer Look at Strength of Schedule, Part II

The Florida Gators are One of Several Teams Whose Strength of Schedule Provides a Big BCS Advantage

In part one, we looked at the undefeated and one-loss BCS conference football teams and compared the win percentages of their opponents so far to estimate strength of schedule. However, we came up with some results that just didn’t look right. I mean, Texas Tech at no. 1, Oklahoma at no. 5 — ahead of both Alabama and Oregon. What’s wrong here?

If you looked carefully, you may have detected the problem already — we are giving Texas Tech and Oklahoma credit for opponents they lost to! Why should the Red Raiders be able to count Oklahoma’s five wins if they weren’t able to beat the Sooners head-to-head? Why should the Sooners take credit for Kansas State‘s 7-0 record?

So we need another table, this time only showing winning percentage of the opponents each teams actually beat.

That’s better; at least an unbeaten team (Florida) is back on top, though the pesky Red Raiders are still hanging out in second place. Alabama and Oregon move in front of Oklahoma in this list as well, which is intuitive. Louisville remains at the bottom — the Cardinals haven’t lost, but they haven’t really beaten anybody either. Ohio State and Kansas State both move in front of Cincinnati, since the Bearcats are not allowed to count Toledo‘s seven wins.

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Atlantic Coast Convos 2012 Top 25: Week Two

After an Impressive Opening Win Over Michigan, Alabama is Quickly Repositioning Themselves for the Number-One Spot

Now that we’re in-season, we’ll be updating these rankings on a weekly basis. As always, we think these are correct. Simultaneously, you’re probably of the opinion you know better. Feel free to share that with us below (respectfully, of course).

Atlantic Coast Convos 2012 Top 25 (Week Two)

1. USC Trojans (1-0) (LW: 1) (First-place votes: 3)

2. Alabama Crimson Tide (1-0) (LW: 4) (1)

3. Oregon Ducks (1-0) (LW: 3)

4. LSU Tigers (1-0) (LW: 2)

5. Florida State Seminoles (1-0) (LW: 6)

6. Oklahoma Sooners (1-0) (LW: 5)

7. West Virginia Mountaineers (1-0) (LW: 10)

8. Georgia Bulldogs (1-0) (LW: 7)

9. South Carolina Gamecocks (1-0) (LW: 9)

10. Arkansas Razorbacks (1-0) (LW: 12)

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Atlantic Coast Convos 2012 Preseason Top 25

USC Barely Beat Out LSU For Our Number-One Spot. Are They the Favorites for This Year’s National Championship?

All those days and weeks and months of counting, and we’re now right on the doorstep of the 2012 college football season! With just 23 days remaining until the first kickoffs on August 30, it also seemed time for the blog’s preseason top 25 picks. Of course, we know no more than you or any one else does, so feel free to interject your own opinion in the comments. Yet another exciting season is nearly upon us, and I, for one, can’t wait.

Atlantic Coast Convos 2012 Preseason Top 25 (August 7)

1. USC Trojans (LW: 2) (First-place votes: 3)

2. LSU Tigers (LW: 1) (1)

3. Oregon Ducks (LW: 5)

4. Alabama Crimson Tide (LW: 3)

5. Oklahoma Sooners (LW: 4)

6. Florida State Seminoles (LW: 6)

7. Georgia Bulldogs (LW: 8)

8. Michigan Wolverines (LW: 10)

9. South Carolina Gamecocks (LW: 9)

10. West Virginia Mountaineers (LW: 7)

 

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Atlantic Coast Convos Early 2012 Top 25 (July 10)

Les Miles and LSU are Eying Another Championship After Falling in Last Year’s Title Game

Once every month until college football returns, this blog will be posting a top 25 ranking list that (similar to the polls that decide who plays in the National Championship Game) matters very little overall. Obviously, these can change based on new recruits, depth chart changes and other, unpredictable off-the-field factors (transfers, TCU weed bonanza, haphazard arrests, etc.). Disagree with these? (likely) Share your thoughts below.

Atlantic Coast Convos Top 25 (Early for 2012: July 10 Edition)

1. LSU Tigers (LW: 3) (First-place votes: 1)

2. USC Trojans (LW: 1) (2)

3. Alabama Crimson Tide (LW: 2)

4. Oklahoma Sooners (LW: 4)

5. Oregon Ducks (LW: 7)

6. Florida State Seminoles (LW: 5)

7. West Virginia Mountaineers (LW: 9)

8. Georgia Bulldogs (LW: 6)

9. South Carolina Gamecocks (LW: 12)

10. Michigan Wolverines (LW: 8) Continue reading

Phil Steele’s 2012 ACC Football Strength of Schedule Rankings

Miami Has One of the ACC’s Strongest Schedules in 2012, Which Includes a Matchup with Notre Dame in Chicago

As part of his annual college football preview, Phil Steele‘s put together an overall ranking of every FBS team’s strength of schedule this year. Since we’re doing a little preview of our own over here for the 2012 ACC football season, it only seemed right that we took a look at the overall rankings for all 14 conference schools. First, your top 10:

1. Notre Dame

2. Mississippi

3. Iowa State

4. Michigan

5. Florida

6. Washington

7. Baylor

8. Texas A&M

9. Miami (FL)

10. Kentucky

So for every team that ends up on this list due to being mediocre team in a great conference (Ole Miss, Iowa State, Texas A&M, Baylor, Kentucky), there’s an equal amount that simply scheduled tougher, namely independent Notre Dame. It’s something to keep in mind as conference realignment talk continues to swirl, too. If they’re invited to the playoff party (they will be), it’s a tough sell to give up four games against top-15 opponents, and all 12 matchups on national television, too. Also in favor of the Irish remaining independent: just one ACC team in the top 10 (and one Miami’s opponents is Notre Dame). Continue reading

Atlantic Coast Convos Far-Too-Early 2012 Top 25 (June 4)

Can the Georgia Bulldogs Contend With LSU and Alabama in the SEC?

Once every month until college football returns, this blog will be posting a top 25 ranking list that (similar to the polls that decide who plays in the National Championship Game) matter very little overall. Obviously, these can change based on new recruits, depth chart changes and other, unpredictable off-the-field factors (Petrino, transfers, Watkins, TCU weed bonanza, etc.). Disagree with these? (likely) Share your thoughts below.

Atlantic Coast Convos Top 25 (Far-Too-Early for 2012: June 4 Edition)

1. USC Trojans (LW: 1)

2. Alabama Crimson Tide (LW: 2)

3. LSU Tigers (LW: 3)

4. Oklahoma Sooners (LW: 4)

5. Florida State Seminoles (LW: 5)

6. Georgia Bulldogs (LW: 12)

7. Oregon Ducks (LW: 9)

8. Michigan Wolverines (LW: 6)

9. West Virginia Mountaineers (LW: 7)

10. Michigan State Spartans (LW: 8) Continue reading

Atlantic Coast Convos Far-Too-Early 2012 Top 25 (May 8)

Clemson’s Sammy Watkins Will Miss Time After Friday’s Arrest — A Bad Sign for the Tigers

Once every month until college football returns, this blog will be posting a top 25 ranking list that (similar to the polls that decide who plays in the National Championship Game) matter very little overall. Obviously, these can change based on new recruits, depth chart changes and other, unpredictable off-the-field factors (hello, Sammy Watkins!). Disagree with these? (likely) Share your thoughts below.

Atlantic Coast Convos Top 25 (Far-Too-Early for 2012: May 8 Edition)

1. USC Trojans (LW: 1)

2. Alabama Crimson Tide (LW: 2)

3. LSU Tigers (LW: 3)

4. Oklahoma Sooners (LW: 4)

5. Florida State Seminoles (LW: 5)

6. Michigan Wolverines (LW: 6)

7. West Virginia Mountaineers (LW: 9)

8. Michigan State Spartans (LW: 7)

9. Oregon Ducks (LW: 10)

10. Kansas State Wildcats (LW: 11) Continue reading