News Survival Statistics

Recent Incidence Rates and Trends of Breast Cancer in the US

Dr. Halls

On this submit we might be taking a look at each precise and estimated incidence charges for breast most cancers in america.

Breast most cancers is the most typical sort of feminine most cancers in the USA (excluding some varieties of pores and skin cancers).

Regardless of large enhancements in screening packages, early detection and focused remedy, breast most cancers stays a worldwide well being concern.


Talking Moose

Talking Moose

Are there going to be numerous charts,
graphs and statistics, Doc?

Dr. HallsDr. Halls

In all probability!


Some Details and Figures and Current Statistics

In response to the Nationwide Most cancers Institute (SEER statistics) an estimated 252,710 ladies shall be recognized with breast most cancers in 2017.

Moreover, 230,815 American ladies have been truly recognized with breast most cancers in 2013. Over three.1 million American ladies have been affected by breast most cancers as of March 2017.

It has been estimated that round 30% of all feminine cancers in 2017 can be breast most cancers.

Nevertheless, it isn’t all dangerous information. Based mostly on the SEER statistics between the years of 2007 to 2013, the share of girls surviving for five years after a breast most cancers analysis is 89.7%.


Talking Moose

Talking Moose

Wow! three.1 million ladies with a historical past of breast most cancers dwelling within the US.


You do know that’s extra ladies than the entire of the inhabitants in Jamaica!


Sure, however let’s give attention to the 5 yr survival fee – 89% that’s spectacular!


Feminine Recognized Breast Most cancers Instances

Tendencies in Incidence Charges from 1995 to 2014

incidence rates

The Rise in Incidence Charges of Breast Most cancers within the 1990’s (US)

Based on SEER statistics, between the years of 2010 to 2014, the breast most cancers incidence price was 124.9 per 100,000 ladies per yr.

Nevertheless, from our line graph (above) we will see that there have been some fascinating tendencies within the charges of breast most cancers over the previous 19 years.

The age-adjusted improve in breast most cancers incidence charges in the course of the 1990’s was round zero.5% per yr. Moreover, this rise was particularly evident in ladies over the age of 50.

This rise in breast most cancers incidence charges within the 1990’s could also be defined by a variety of elements in response to a 2007 analysis research and these embrace:-

  • Widespread use of Hormone Alternative Remedy (HRT) following menopause.
  • Improve in mammographic screening
  • Modifications in reproductive elements
  • Change in environmental elements or weight loss plan


Talking Moose

Talking Moose

Wow! We will see the top of the development within the rise of breast most cancers on our line graph.

Dr. HallsDr. Halls

Sure, however as mentioned it might be (partially) an increase within the analysis of breast most cancers – which is an effective factor!


Kaiser Permanente Northwest (KPNW) Research

Kaiser Permanente Northwest (KPNW), a big US well being plan, additionally used statistics to look at breast most cancers incidence charges. This reseach used tumor registry, medical, pathology and pharmacy knowledge.

This massive research displays the outcomes of incidence developments from the Nationwide Most cancers Institute SEER outcomes.

The research concluded that since 1980, developments within the improve of breast most cancers incidence mirror elevated patterns for mammography screening and use of HRT.

Apparently, between 1980 and 2001 breast most cancers incidence charges for ladies underneath 45 years have been secure. Nevertheless, for ladies between 45 to 59 years and people 60 years or older, incidence charges rose round 50% between 1980 and 2001.

The primary wave of elevated charges was attributed to the rise in screening mammography in the course of the early 1980’s. The second rise in breast most cancers incidence charges all through the 1990’s corresponded to elevated use of HRT, particularly mixed remedy.


Dr. HallsDr. Halls

Probably the most vital development for me on our line graph is the numerous drop in breast most cancers incidence from 2001 to 2003.

Talking Moose

Talking Moose

Can we see the graph once more, Doc?In any other case there might be a number of scrolling up and down.

Dr. HallsDr. Halls

Okay, Right here it’s…


incidence rates

The BIG lower in Breast Most cancers Charges from mid-2002 (US)

Of all the explanations prompt above for the rise in breast most cancers incidence charges within the 1990’s, Ravdin (et al) recommend that solely using HRT modified dramatically between 2002 and 2003.

As we will see from the graph, the sharp lower of breast most cancers incidence charges started in mid 2002. Many research recommend that this lower is linked to the discharge of a analysis trial from the Ladies’s Well being Initiative (WHI) highlighting well being dangers of HRT.

incidence ratesBased on the WHI, using estrogen-progestin (mixture) remedy considerably elevated the dangers of coronary coronary heart illness and breast most cancers.

With the extensively publicized outcomes of the WHI report on HRT remedy, many ladies panicked and by the top of 2002 using HRT had dropped by 38% within the US. It’s estimated that round 20 million fewer prescriptions have been written for HRT in 2003 than 2002.

An extra research highlights that the sharp lower in incidence charges of breast most cancers from 2002 to 2003 was most prevalent in ladies between 50 to 69 years previous and with ER+ tumors. This means that HRT remedy have an effect on Estrogen constructive tumor progress.

Nevertheless, this analysis additionally means that this era of steep decline in breast most cancers incidence charges additionally coincides with ‘a saturation’ in screening mammography.



So what’s the recommendation now about HRT,

Dr. HallsDr. Halls

Nicely, the controversy and debate surrounding HRT has raged for years. Some newer analysis research, following the 2002 decline in breast most cancers, deny any reference to HRT use. Under is detailed a 2016 research … and we seem to have come full circle.

Dr. HallsDr. Halls

Keep in mind nevertheless, that charges and developments of breast most cancers are based mostly on a mess of mixed elements and it’s important to not simplify the difficulty an excessive amount of … however …


A Little Replace on Hormone Alternative Remedy (2016)


An enormous, new, analysis research by the Institute of Most cancers Analysis, London adopted 100,000 ladies over 40 years.

The research, revealed in 2016, awakens new considerations about Hormone Alternative Remedy (HRT) as soon as extra. This analysis means that earlier investigative analysis have underestimated the elevated danger of breast most cancers with using mixed HRT by as much as 60%. Moreover, ladies who take mixed HRT remedy are 2.7 occasions extra more likely to develop breast most cancers.


Ductal Carcinoma In-Situ and Invasive Breast Most cancers Charges


What’s Ductal Carcinoma In-Situ (DCIS) ?

incidence ratesDuctal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) is a really early stage non-invasive breast most cancers. DCIS is the most typical in-situ breast most cancers recognized.

A analysis of DCIS signifies that breast carcinoma is current, however has not but infiltrated the liner of the breast ducts. There are various differing types and grades of DCIS, most of which aren’t life threatening. Prognosis for DCIS is superb.

Previous to 1980, DCIS was not often recognized. However with advances in breast most cancers screening procedures and elevated participation in screening mammography DCIS is extra often recognized.

What’s Invasive Most cancers?

Invasive breast most cancers, in contrast to in-situ most cancers, is when the most cancers has unfold past the ducts or glands and grown into the breast tissue. This most cancers can then infiltrate into native nymph nodes and past.

Invasive (or infiltrating) breast most cancers is a extra superior stage than an in-situ carcinoma. Ladies within the US usually tend to be recognized with an invasive most cancers than an in-situ most cancers.


Talking Moose

Talking Moose

Come on then Doc! Give us some graphs or pie charts … truly simply pie can be good … as in apple pie.

Dr. HallsDr. Halls

Sorry Moose. No apple pie. Nevertheless,
I do have some graphs…


incidence rates

incidence rates

Comparability of estimated instances of DCIS and Invasive Most cancers Graphs for 2016 – 2017 (US)

We will see from the above two graphs that the estimated instances of invasive breast most cancers for 2016 to 2017 are a lot bigger than that of DCIS.

There are an estimated 60,290 new instances general of DCIS in contrast with 231,840 new case of invasive most cancers, within the US, for the yr 2016.

That’s to say that round 1 / 4 of all new breast most cancers instances might be detected at a really early stage. That is excellent news because the prognosis is superb.

One other fascinating issue is that age at analysis does play a task. We will clearly see that the overall developments within the two graphs are pretty comparable.

Ladies underneath 40 years have the bottom incidence fee basically for each kinds of breast most cancers. Certainly, lower than 5% of girls recognized with most cancers are underneath 40 years. Nevertheless, typically the tumors in youthful ladies are extra aggressive.

The danger of breast most cancers does improve as a lady will get older. The typical age of analysis for feminine breast most cancers within the US is 62 years, though this varies in response to race and ethnicity.


Talking Moose

Talking Moose

Thanks for studying peoples.


Additional Studying and Fascinating Posts

Again to full index for Breast most cancers Incidence and Mortality posts or to the model new homepage.
Observe: There’s additionally a brand new submit on Lung Most cancers Incidence charges.


Under is a few of the unique info from this submit, that has lately been up to date. Clearly, a number of the knowledge and knowledge is a bit dated now, however nonetheless holds worth in analyzing developments in breast most cancers incidence charges through the years.


Breast most cancers tumors at time of first detection are typically small and ‘node destructive’

In Canada, research have proven that for ladies aged 50-69 years, an invasive tumor of lower than 1.5 cm is detected about 54% of the time.

Moreover, tumors with a node unfavorable standing are detected round 77 % of the time. Node adverse signifies that the most cancers has not unfold into the lymph nodes.

Which means even when breast carcinoma just isn’t recognized on the DCIS stage, the chances of discovering and efficiently treating breast most cancers at an early invasive stage are nonetheless excellent.

The relative charges of DCIS and invasive breast most cancers stay about the identical

numberofcancersThe graph (to the suitable right here) examined relative charges of DCIS and invasive breast most cancers between 1996 and 2003 within the USA.

Apparently this graph demonstrates that the full variety of breast most cancers and DCIS instances within the US tended to hover round 6000 ladies per yr throughout that point interval. (NB: The corresponding drop in figures between 2002 and 2003).

General, the ratio of DCIS to breast most cancers for all age teams seems to be between 15% and 20%.

Breast Cancers and DCIS recognized by mammography by age 10 yr age group, within the USA

Preliminary screening for breast most cancers as categorized by age teams demonstrates that the sooner in age screening begins, the upper the speed of DCIS detected.

In our graph to the fitting, one can observe that DCIS is mostly recognized between the ages of 40 and 59 and could be very uncommon in ladies underneath 30.

This provides additional help to the idea that breast most cancers screening ought to start at age 40 and proceed via the 50’s.

More often than not, DCIS is a a lot better analysis and prognosis than an invasive most cancers and leads to fewer mortalities.

In North America, preliminary screening procedures sometimes determine DCIS about 30% of the time for ladies over 40, as in comparison with 70% breast most cancers analysis.

DCIS charges have elevated because the 1990s, whereas invasive breast cancers are in decline

Invasive breast most cancers charges didn’t improve in the course of the late 1980’s and have, in reality, declined since 2000.

dcis-invasive-breast-cancer-ratesThe graphic to the best, clearly demonstrates each the upward trajectory of DCIS detection within the late 1980’s coinciding with improved screening procedures, and a peak and subsequent decline in invasive breast most cancers analysis since round 1998.  The road graph exhibits the incidence charges of DCIS and invasive breast most cancers between the years of 1975 to 2005.

Nevertheless, throughout this era the speed of Ductal Carcinoma In-Situ (DCIS) analysis has elevated by 200%.

Apparently, using screening mammography elevated by roughly 250% throughout the identical interval, though with a peak improve a lot before the rise of DCIS detection.

DCIS is steadily ‘over-diagnosed’

Over-diagnosis is a time period now steadily related to DCIS.

Over-diagnosis signifies that the DCIS wouldn’t have in any other case been detected throughout a lady’s lifetime with out screening. In different phrases, the DCIS wouldn’t have posed any well being drawback.

Between 15% and 18% of DCIS analysis are considered over-diagnosed.

The priority is that a majority of DCIS instances are handled by surgical procedure. In some situations DCIS has been handled by mastectomy when it might be utterly pointless.



  • American Most cancers Society. Breast Most cancers Details & Figures 2015-2016. Atlanta:
    American Most cancers Society, Inc. 2015.
  • Ravdin PM, Cronin KA, Howlader N, Berg CD, Chlebowski RT, Feuer EJ. (et al). (2007) The Lower in Breast-Most cancers Incidence in 2003 in the USA
    N Engl J Med 2007; 356:1670-1674April 19, 2007


Extra references for this part are on this web page


Talking Moose

Talking Moose

All the time consider that one thing fantastic goes to occur.



fbq(‘init’, ‘919660061435205’);
fbq(‘monitor’, “PageView”);